I've decided I am absolutely terrible at predicting which papers will be "a hit" and which papers will never get cited or read.
Like most academics, I'm usually working on several papers at the same time. In my mind as we're preparing and submitting, I often place bets on how the reviews will come back. Formulating my prediction involves not only the content of the paper, but also the publication venue, who I expect the reviewers might be, and other misc. variables.
I'm nearly always wrong.
And post-publication, the papers I am most proud of are never cited. The papers I am most ashamed of are frequently cited. I am considering employing reverse psychology as I write.
Either that or switch into mobile computing. Those people are so connected every paper has a gazillion citations.
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